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28. Juni 2018 · See the latest polls for the 2024 presidential election, including national and state-level results. Compare the candidates' support, favorability and approval ratings from different sources and dates.
- President
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- National
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Update (March 28): Our readers have spoken, and we listened....
- All Posts by Ella Koeze
Ella Koeze was a visual journalist for FiveThirtyEight. This...
- Ritchie King
Ritchie King was a senior editor for data visualization at...
- National Polls
Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on...
- President
11. Juni 2024 · 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Joe Biden’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.
- G. Elliott Morris
With the election months away, 538 breaks down the possibilities and future of President Biden in the White House.
Vor einem Tag · See the latest polling averages for the 2024 presidential election, including Biden vs. Trump, Biden vs. Kennedy, and generic ballot. Compare polls by date, sample size, pollster, sponsor, and partisan type.
23. Mai 2023 · Explore interactive graphics and animations on politics, sports, society and more. See how FiveThirtyEight uses statistics and data to tell compelling stories and make predictions.
3. Nov. 2020 · Biden is favored to win the popular vote and the Electoral College, but Trump could still pull off an upset with a small polling error. See how the race could change with different scenarios and state-by-state projections.
12. Aug. 2020 · Learn how FiveThirtyEight's model works and what changes it has made to account for the pandemic and other factors in the 2020 election. The model uses polls, economic indicators, news events and other data to project the Electoral College outcome.
