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  1. projects.fivethirtyeight.com › polls › president-generalPresident: general election Polls | FiveThirtyEight

    28. Juni 2018 · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

    • President

      President - President: general election Polls |...

    • National

      National - President: general election Polls |...

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      Update (March 28): Our readers have spoken, and we listened....

    • All Posts by Ella Koeze

      Ella Koeze was a visual journalist for FiveThirtyEight. This...

  2. projects.fivethirtyeight.com › 2024-election-forecastWho Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?

    11. Juni 2024 · 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Trump wins 51 times out of 100 in our simulations of the 2024 presidential election.

    • G. Elliott Morris

  3. projects.fivethirtyeight.com › polls › approvalCongress : Approval Polls | FiveThirtyEight

    28. Juni 2018 · In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

  4. fivethirtyeight.com › features › 2022-election-polling-accuracyThe Polls Were Historically Accurate In 2022 | FiveThirtyEight

    10. März 2023 · We analyzed virtually all polls conducted in the final 21 days 1 before every presidential, U.S. Senate, U.S. House and gubernatorial general election, and every presidential primary, since 1998...

    • Nathaniel Rakich
    • 538 polls1
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  5. projects.fivethirtyeight.com › polls › generic-ballotGeneric ballot : 2022 Polls | FiveThirtyEight

    Vor 6 Tagen · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national...

  6. abcnews.go.com › 538 › trump-biden-tied-538s-new-electionTrump and Biden are tied in 538's new election forecast

    11. Juni 2024 · Right now, Trump leads Biden in most polls of the swing states that will decide the election, but the “fundamentals” favor Biden.

  7. fivethirtyeight.com › features › our-new-polling-averages-showOur New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 ... -...

    18. Juni 2020 · Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally. But the race is closer in swing states, which could allow Trump to win the Electoral College if the race tightens. By Nate...