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  1. 28. Juni 2018 · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. KEY. ESTIMATE. 95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE.

  2. 11. Juni 2024 · 538s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Joe Biden’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.

  3. With the election months away, 538 breaks down the possibilities and future of President Biden in the White House.

  4. Vor einem Tag · Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501 (c) (4), 501 (c) (5) or 501 (c) (6) organization that...

  5. 23. Mai 2023 · FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.

  6. 3. Nov. 2020 · FiveThirtyEight has issued its final presidential forecast. There hasn’t been a lot of change over the past 24 or 48 hours, as most of the late polling either c….

  7. 12. Aug. 2020 · Enhancing our polling averages. At the core of the modeled estimate is FiveThirtyEights partisan lean index, which reflects how the state voted in the past two presidential elections as ...

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