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  1. projects.fivethirtyeight.com › 2024-election-forecastWho Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?

    11. Juni 2024 · 538’s new forecast says 2024 election a toss-up. In this 538 episode, 538's Galen Druke sits down with G. Elliott Morris, director of data analytics, to discuss the even odds between...

    • Latest Forecast

      Latest forecast of the 2020 presidential election between...

  2. projects.fivethirtyeight.com › polls › president-generalPresident: general election Polls | FiveThirtyEight

    28. Juni 2018 · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

  3. www.270towin.com › maps › 538-forecast-2024-presidential-election538 Forecast for 2024 Presidential Election - 270toWin

    Vor 3 Tagen · An interactive electoral map derived from 538's probabilistic model for the 2024 presidential election.

  4. abcnews.go.com › 538 › trump-biden-tied-538s-new-electionTrump and Biden are tied in 538's new election forecast

    11. Juni 2024 · At launch, our forecast shows President Joe Biden locked in a practically tied race with former President Donald Trump, both in the Electoral College and national popular vote.

    • G. Elliott Morris
    • 2 Sek.

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  6. abcnews.go.com › 538 › 538s-2024-presidential-electionHow 538's 2024 presidential election forecast works - ABC News

    11. Juni 2024 · For 2024, 538 built a new presidential election forecast model from the ground up. This article explains how we did it: the ingredients that go into the forecast, how we process them and how we ultimately end up with a set of several thousand potential outcomes for the election. 1. Calculate polling averages.

    • G. Elliott Morris
    • 2 Min.

  7. abcnews.go.com › 538538 — Election Polls, Politics, and Analysis - ABC News

    538’s new forecast says 2024 election a toss-up. In this 538 episode, 538's Galen Druke sits down with G. Elliott Morris, director of data analytics, to discuss the even odds between President ...

  8. projects.fivethirtyeight.com › 2020-election-forecast2020 Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight

    3. Nov. 2020 · Latest forecast of the 2020 presidential election between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.