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21. Apr. 2023 · Nate Silver is the founder and former editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight, a website that uses data and analysis to cover politics and other topics. He also hosts and produces podcasts on various subjects, such as AI, elections, and governors.
- President: general election Polls | FiveThirtyEight
An updating average of 2020 presidential general election...
- Biden’s Favored In Our Final Presidential Forecast, But It’s A Fine ...
Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of...
- 2020 Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight
Latest forecast of the 2020 presidential election between...
- How FiveThirtyEight’s 2020 Forecasts Did And What We’ll Be Thinking ...
Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of...
- President: general election Polls | FiveThirtyEight
Vor 2 Tagen · See the latest polls for the 2024 presidential election, with results for each state and the national average. Compare the candidates' performance in different poll types, sample sizes, and dates.
Vor 4 Tagen · Let’s cut to the chase: So, who’s gonna win the election? Well, honestly, we don’t know — but we can give you our best probabilistic guess. This is the landing page for the 2024 Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast. It will always contain the most recent data from the model. 1.
538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.
3. Nov. 2020 · Biden is favored to win the Electoral College with an 89 percent chance, but Trump could still pull off an upset with a small polling error. See how the map would change with different scenarios and the sources of uncertainty in the race.
3. Nov. 2020 · See the latest odds and scenarios for the 2020 presidential election between Trump and Biden, based on state polls and demographic data. Explore the interactive forecast, the Electoral College map, the tipping points and the possible outcomes.
8. Juni 2021 · Nate Silver evaluates how FiveThirtyEight's election forecasts performed in 2020, covering the presidency, Senate and House. He discusses the challenges and opportunities for forecasting in 2022 and beyond.
