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Vor 2 Tagen · Four months out from Election Day, the 2024 presidential election is a pure toss-up. Right now, President Joe Biden is favored to win in 465 out of 1,000 of our model’s simulations of how the...
Vor 4 Tagen · Let’s cut to the chase: So, who’s gonna win the election? Well, honestly, we don’t know — but we can give you our best probabilistic guess. This is the landing page for the 2024 Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast. It will always contain the most recent data from the model. 1.
Vor 2 Tagen · An updating calculation of the president's approval rating, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. KEY. ESTIMATE. 95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS...
26. Juni 2024 · The presidential election isn't a toss-up. As our model launches, either Biden or Trump could easily win — but the odds are in the ex-president’s favor. Nate Silver. Jun 26, 2024.
12. Juni 2024 · Nate Silver. Jun 12, 2024. I’m getting excited about the launch of the Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast later this month 1 — and in preparation, I’ve recalculated the pollster ratings that the model employs.
Vor 4 Tagen · Mr. Silver writes the newsletter Silver Bulletin. After last week’s debate disaster, some Democrats are trying to circle the wagons to protect President Biden, noting that Barack Obama lost his ...
27. Juni 2024 · Nate Silver, political pollster and founder of FiveThirtyEight released his highly anticipated forecasting model for the 2024 presidential election.
