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11. Juni 2024 · 538’s new forecast says 2024 election a toss-up. In this 538 episode, 538's Galen Druke sits down with G. Elliott Morris, director of data analytics, to discuss the even odds between...
- Most Likely to Beat Trump
An updating average of 2020 presidential general election...
- Latest Forecast
Our 2020 forecasts — presidential, Senate, House — are all...
- Most Likely to Beat Trump
28. Juni 2018 · See the latest national and state polls for the 2024 presidential election, with results for Biden and Trump. Compare the polls by date, sample size, pollster and sponsor.
Vor 3 Tagen · An interactive electoral map derived from 538's probabilistic model for the 2024 presidential election.
11. Juni 2024 · At launch, our forecast shows President Joe Biden locked in a practically tied race with former President Donald Trump, both in the Electoral College and national popular vote.
- G. Elliott Morris
- 2 Sek.
538’s new forecast says 2024 election a toss-up. In this 538 episode, 538's Galen Druke sits down with G. Elliott Morris, director of data analytics, to discuss the even odds between President ...
11. Juni 2024 · For 2024, 538 built a new presidential election forecast model from the ground up. This article explains how we did it: the ingredients that go into the forecast, how we process them and how we ultimately end up with a set of several thousand potential outcomes for the election. 1. Calculate polling averages.
3. Nov. 2020 · Our 2020 forecasts — presidential, Senate, House — are all now officially frozen, meaning we won’t be ingesting any new polls or updating the odds in any race. Instead, follow along on our...
