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  1. 11. Juni 2024 · 538’s new forecast says 2024 election a toss-up. In this 538 episode, 538's Galen Druke sits down with G. Elliott Morris, director of data analytics, to discuss the even odds between...

    • Georgia Polls

      Georgia Polls | FiveThirtyEight. Check out our popular...

  2. Vor 3 Tagen · Let’s cut to the chase: So, who’s gonna win the election? Well, honestly, we don’t know — but we can give you our best probabilistic guess. This is the landing page for the 2024 Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast.

  3. Vor 5 Tagen · President Joe Biden's and Vice President Kamala Harris's chances of winning key swing states and the Electoral College against former President Donald Trump, according to a polls-only version of 538's presidential election forecast as of July 2, 2024. 538. Harris also does slightly better than Biden in our forecast of the national popular vote.

  4. Vor 2 Tagen · Who’s Ahead in National Presidential Polls? General election polling average. Do Voters Want Republicans Or Democrats In Congress? Generic ballot polling average. How Popular Is Joe Biden?...

  5. Vor 6 Tagen · fivethirtyeight. June 6, 2024 at 2:04 PM. Our analysis of data shows that the overall share of women running and winning in primaries thus far in 2024 is slightly lower than it was at the close of the 2022 primary cycle. But there's a notable partisan split. trib.al/Vl5XC…

  6. Vor 6 Tagen · It’s interesting that 538’s 2024 election model (“based on [Morris’s] past forecasting work”) gives a quite different prediction. It was 50/50 before the debate and it has moved only a bit to 53/47.

  7. Vor einem Tag · Georgia Polls | FiveThirtyEight. Check out our popular polling averages. Who’s Ahead in National Presidential Polls? General election polling average. Do Voters Want Republicans Or Democrats In...