Suchergebnisse
Vor 4 Tagen · Let’s cut to the chase: So, who’s gonna win the election? Well, honestly, we don’t know — but we can give you our best probabilistic guess. This is the landing page for the 2024 Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast. It will always contain the most recent data from the model. 1.
Vor 2 Tagen · Four months out from Election Day, the 2024 presidential election is a pure toss-up. Right now, President Joe Biden is favored to win in 465 out of 1,000 of our model’s simulations of how the...
- G. Elliott Morris
Vor 4 Tagen · Download the data. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential...
Vor 2 Tagen · An updating calculation of the president's approval rating, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. KEY. ESTIMATE. 95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS...
Vor 4 Tagen · Pollster Nate Silver, the founder of ABC’s FiveThirtyEight, said he expects to see “some further decline” in President Biden’s poll numbers, as postdebate surveys are published in the days ...
In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen Druke speaks with Jessica Roth, a law professor and former federal prosecutor, about the details of the Supreme Court's ruling. Then 538's Nathaniel Rakich and Tia Yang discuss the continued fallout from the presidential debate.
Vor 3 Tagen · To celebrate our independence from Great Britain, the 538 Politics podcast is actually turning its attention to the United Kingdom's upcoming election. The U.K. is holding its first national election in four and a half years on July 4 and the polling suggests the Labour Party …
