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  1. 11. Juni 2024 · Four months out from Election Day, the 2024 presidential election is a pure toss-up. Right now, President Joe Biden is favored to win in 465 out of 1,000 of our model’s simulations of how the...

  2. Vor einem Tag · An updating calculation of the president's approval rating, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. KEY. ESTIMATE. 95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS...

  3. Vor einem Tag · Download the data. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential...

  4. Vor 5 Tagen · President Joe Biden's and Vice President Kamala Harris's chances of winning key swing states and the Electoral College against former President Donald Trump, according to the full version of 538's ...

  5. Vor 5 Tagen · The 538 presidential general election polling averages are officially live! That means no more poll-by-poll whiplash; for a sense of the state of the race na...

    • 53 Min.
    • 24.8K
    • FiveThirtyEight
  6. Vor 4 Tagen · In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen Druke speaks with Jessica Roth, a law professor and former federal prosecutor, about the details of the Supreme Court's ruling. Then 538's Nathaniel Rakich and Tia Yang discuss the continued fallout from the presidential debate.

  7. Vor 3 Tagen · To celebrate our independence from Great Britain, the 538 Politics podcast is actually turning its attention to the United Kingdom's upcoming election. The U.K. is holding its first national election in four and a half years on July 4 and the polling suggests the Labour Party …

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