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  1. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, we look at data on which lawmakers are calling on Biden to step aside and who is continuing to support him. The RNC also released its proposed platform this week and we use a good or bad use of polling example to better understand whether former President Donald Trump’s (and Biden's) policies are popular.

  2. 10. März 2023 · So for 2022, the only substantive lesson we can glean from this metric is that polls were historically close — something we already knew! In fact, 55 percent of the polls we analyzed for last ...

  3. 3. Nov. 2020 · Nov. 3, 2020. Our 2020 forecasts — presidential, Senate, House — are all now officially frozen, meaning we won’t be ingesting any new polls or updating the odds in any race. Instead, follow along on our Election Day Live blog as we track results in real-time. At the end of a loooooong campaign, here’s where we stand: Joe Biden is ...

  4. 3. Nov. 2020 · FiveThirtyEight has issued its final presidential forecast.There hasn’t been a lot of change over the past 24 or 48 hours, as most of the late polling either came in close to our previous ...

  5. 28. Juni 2018 · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here .

  6. 28. Juni 2023 · FiveThirtyEight’s old and new polling averages are a close match. Various FiveThirtyEight polling averages under our old and new methodologies, as of June 27 at 8 p.m. Eastern. While we’ve ...

  7. Vor einem Tag · Hutchinson —. Pence —. Ramaswamy —. Scott —. Suarez —. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.”. Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.