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  1. 28. Juni 2018 · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

    • President

      When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster...

    • National

      When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster...

    • RSS

      Update (March 28): Our readers have spoken, and we listened....

    • All Posts by Ella Koeze

      Ella Koeze was a visual journalist for FiveThirtyEight. This...

  2. 10. Jan. 2023 · Who’s ahead in the national polls? An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

  3. 18. Juni 2020 · ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT. Today we launched our general election polling averages, nationally and for all states with a sufficient number of polls. Recent polls show former Vice...

  4. 24. Juni 2024 · Our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls.

  5. 11. Juni 2024 · Today 538 published our official forecast for the 2024 presidential election. The model builds on our general election polling averages by asking not just what our best guess is about who is leading the presidential race today, but what range of outcomes are possible for the actual election in November.

    • G. Elliott Morris
    • 2 Sek.
  6. 28. Juni 2023 · Various FiveThirtyEight polling averages under our old and new methodologies, as of June 27 at 8 p.m. Eastern. While we’ve gone back and recalculated all our active 1 polling averages...

  7. 28. Jan. 2021 · This, in a nutshell, is why we at FiveThirtyEight track the president’s approval rating (and its glass-half-empty cousin, disapproval rating) in real time — first for former President Donald...