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11. Juni 2024 · Four months out from Election Day, the 2024 presidential election is a pure toss-up. Right now, President Joe Biden is favored to win in 465 out of 1,000 of our model’s simulations of how the...
28. Juni 2018 · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
4. Apr. 2024 · 538’s Swing-O-Matic shows what could happen in the 2024 election if President Joe Biden or former President Donald Trump gains ground with different demographic groups — and if turnout shifts...
With the election months away, 538 breaks down the possibilities and future of President Biden in the White House.
11. Juni 2024 · Today 538 published our official forecast for the 2024 presidential election. The model builds on our general election polling averages by asking not just what our best guess is about who is leading the presidential race today, but what range of outcomes are possible for the actual election in November.
8. Nov. 2022 · Live results and coverage of the 2022 Midterm elections, including the latest updates on the race for control of the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives, as well analysis on races for...
3. Nov. 2020 · Live election results and coverage of the 2020 presidential election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, and the race for the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives.
