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  1. 28. Juni 2018 · Who’s ahead in the national polls? An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

  2. 28. Juni 2018 · Download the data. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential...

  3. 18. Juni 2020 · Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally. But the race is closer in swing states, which could allow Trump to win the Electoral College if the race tightens. By Nate...

  4. 10. März 2023 · We analyzed virtually all polls conducted in the final 21 days 1 before every presidential, U.S. Senate, U.S. House and gubernatorial general election, and every presidential primary, since 1998...

  5. Vor 4 Tagen · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national...

  6. 28. Jan. 2021 · How do we boil down dozens of approval-rating polls into a single number? It’s not a simple average! We use an empirically tested, weighted average that accounts for poll quality and...

  7. 27. Juni 2024 · All the data presented here comes from polling done by Ipsos for 538 using Ipsos’s KnowledgePanel, a probability-based online panel that is recruited to be representative of the U.S. population. The same group of respondents was interviewed before and after the presidential debate on June 27, 2024, to track whether and how their answers changed.