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11. Juni 2024 · UPDATED Jul. 4, 2024, at 9:28 AM. Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election? 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Trump wins 53 times...
- U.S. House Polls
Who’s Ahead in National Presidential Polls? General election...
- How Popular is Joe Biden
is Joe Biden? An updating calculation of the president's...
- U.S. House Polls
Vor 6 Tagen · Who’s Ahead in National Presidential Polls? General election polling average. Do Voters Want Republicans Or Democrats In Congress? Generic ballot polling average. How Popular Is Joe Biden?...
Vor einem Tag · is Joe Biden? An updating calculation of the president's approval rating, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. KEY. ESTIMATE. 95% OF POLLS PROJECTED...
11. Juni 2024 · Right now, Trump leads Biden in most polls of the swing states that will decide the election, but the “fundamentals” favor Biden.
- G. Elliott Morris
- 2 Sek.
24. Juni 2024 · Our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls.
11. Juni 2024 · 1. Calculate polling averages. Aside from two major factors (and a few minor ones), the way we calculate polling averages for our forecasting model is identical to the methodology for the presidential general election polling averages we publish on the 538 website.
Vor 5 Tagen · President Joe Biden's and Vice President Kamala Harris's chances of winning key swing states and the Electoral College against former President Donald Trump, according to a polls-only version of 538's presidential election forecast as of July 2, 2024. 538. Harris also does slightly better than Biden in our forecast of the national popular vote.
