Suchergebnisse
11. Juni 2024 · Four months out from Election Day, the 2024 presidential election is a pure toss-up. Right now, President Joe Biden is favored to win in 465 out of 1,000 of our model’s simulations of how the...
- Who Won The First Biden-Trump Presidential Debate?
President Joe Biden turned in a dismal performance at the...
- Who Won The First Biden-Trump Presidential Debate?
11. Juni 2024 · Today 538 published our official forecast for the 2024 presidential election. The model builds on our general election polling averages by asking not just what our best guess is about who is leading the presidential race today, but what range of outcomes are possible for the actual election in November.
- G. Elliott Morris
- 2 Sek.
24. Juni 2024 · Donald J. Trump’s lead over President Biden in national polls has widened since their debate in late June. Before the debate, Trump’s lead in our national polling average was one percentage point;...
28. Juni 2024 · President Joe Biden turned in a dismal performance at the first presidential general-election debate on Thursday night. That was certainly the opinion of many pundits reacting in real time, but...
11. Juni 2024 · For 2024, 538 built a new presidential election forecast model from the ground up. This article explains how we did it: the ingredients that go into the forecast, how we process them and how we ultimately end up with a set of several thousand potential outcomes for the election. 1. Calculate polling averages.
- G. Elliott Morris
- 2 Min.
Vor 5 Tagen · President Joe Biden's and Vice President Kamala Harris's chances of winning key swing states and the Electoral College against former President Donald Trump, according to a polls-only version of ...
Vor 5 Tagen · The 538 presidential general election polling averages are officially live! That means no more poll-by-poll whiplash; for a sense of the state of the race nationally and in the battleground...
- 53 Min.
- 24.8K
- FiveThirtyEight
