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Vor 2 Tagen · 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Trump wins 54 times out of 100 in our simulations of the 2024 presidential election.
- U.S. House Polls | FiveThirtyEight
Download the data. When the dates of tracking polls from the...
- Who Won The First Biden-Trump Presidential Debate?
President Joe Biden turned in a dismal performance at the...
- U.S. House Polls | FiveThirtyEight
Vor 4 Tagen · Download the data. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential...
28. Juni 2024 · President Joe Biden turned in a dismal performance at the first presidential general-election debate on Thursday night. That was certainly the opinion of many pundits reacting in real time, but...
24. Juni 2024 · Our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls.
11. Juni 2024 · Right now, Trump leads Biden in most polls of the swing states that will decide the election, but the “fundamentals” favor Biden.
- G. Elliott Morris
- 2 Sek.
11. Juni 2024 · First, our forecast caps a poll's sample size at 1,500 respondents as a way to decrease the weight of surveys with huge samples, which, in our modern era of increased nonresponse and other poll ...
26. Juni 2024 · The 538 presidential forecast currently thinks Biden needs to win the national popular vote by 1.5 points in November to win a majority of Electoral College votes.
