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  1. 28. Juni 2018 · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

    • President

      When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster...

    • National

      When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster...

    • RSS

      Update (March 28): Our readers have spoken, and we listened....

    • All Posts by Ella Koeze

      Ella Koeze was a visual journalist for FiveThirtyEight. This...

  2. 16. Juni 2024 · UPDATED Jun. 28, 2024, at 11:13 PM. Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election? 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Biden wins 51...

    • G. Elliott Morris
  3. 28. Juni 2018 · Who’s ahead in the national polls? An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

  4. 538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.

  5. 18. Juni 2020 · ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT. Today we launched our general election polling averages, nationally and for all states with a sufficient number of polls. Recent polls show former Vice...

  6. 24. Juni 2024 · Our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls.

  7. 3. Nov. 2020 · There are considerably fewer undecided voters in this race — just 4.8 percent of voters say they’re undecided or plan to vote for third-party candidates, as compared to 12.5 percent at the end of...