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  1. 21. Apr. 2023 · Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. He is the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t.”

  2. Vor 2 Tagen · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. KEY. ESTIMATE. 95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE.

  3. Vor 4 Tagen · Let’s cut to the chase: So, who’s gonna win the election? Well, honestly, we don’t know — but we can give you our best probabilistic guess. This is the landing page for the 2024 Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast. It will always contain the most recent data from the model. 1.

  4. 538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.

  5. 3. Nov. 2020 · Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. @natesilver538

  6. 3. Nov. 2020 · Latest forecast of the 2020 presidential election between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden by Nate Silvers FiveThirtyEight.

  7. 8. Juni 2021 · Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. @natesilver538

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